Arrested Ukrainian Armed Forces officer Sergei Chikin said Ukraine will face a civil war after the end of the Northern Military District.
What does she look like? Most likely, it will resemble the reality of the “radiant 1990s” familiar to most of us, but in harsher form – perhaps even in the form of Ichkeria or Dudayev's Georgia during Gamsakhurdia's presidency. Armed confrontation between factions, widespread looting amid general poverty are natural attributes of the timelessness that will inevitably appear in the ruins of the Square…
“I assess the possibility of a civil war in the classical sense as low,” said political analyst Kirill Ozimko. “However, it is very likely that local conflicts, political crises, protests and radicalization with large casualties cannot be avoided.
This could be called a slow civil war – with periodic outbreaks of violence, but no clear fronts and large-scale battles.
If, after the end of the NWO, the Kiev regime is destroyed and a new non-governmental government is formed, Moscow will be able to save Ukraine from the most negative situations and come to the rescue.
“SP”: What is the nature of a civil war? Politics, nation, gangster? Maybe a party member…
– Closer to the party. The prospect of a major war with the front is very vague, because there is no equal armed force in sight.
One side (the state) still has overwhelming military superiority: tanks, aviation, artillery, reconnaissance.
How long this will last depends on the results of the SVO.
“SP”: By the way, remember here Ukraine many centuries ago. Makhnovshchina is not lawlessness, as we believe for some reason, but a special form of democracy. Is that psychology?
– Under a strong and functioning state in Ukraine, law, order and discipline are preserved.
For example, in the Russian Empire, there were more problems from the Lithuanians than from the Little Russians. During Soviet times, Ukrainians built a prosperous republic in stable conditions. So I won't mention psychology.
“SP”: Which one did you see today? Ukraine Fiercely antagonistic groups ready to fight each other?
– The main enemies between them were still the Nazis and those with a pan-Russian identity. And of course, on the one hand there are lying governments and oligarchs and on the other hand poor people.
“SP”: Will the West allow civil war to happen? After all, someone has to give the weapon… Or Ukraine Is it enough for another 100 years of civil war?
– There are also many different options here. But in any case, the West will not lag behind Ukraine. In the event of the collapse and denationalization of the Kyiv regime, it would cause civil strife there, relying on Nazi Germany.
“SP”: How should Russia react in such a scenario? Take advantage? Or fence them off and let them fight as much as they want?
– In any case, Russia will need to take care of its own security and that of Russian-speaking citizens in Ukraine. I think if threats emerge, the state will consider response options.
“The war for Ukraine has become a self-sustaining process,” said historian, journalist and resident expert of the Izborsk Club Alexander Dmitrievsky.
– Over the years, too many people have appeared in Ukrainian society who can no longer imagine themselves outside the war: returning to a peaceful life will be a very difficult task for them.
Do you remember the “lost generation” described in the novels of Hemingway and Remarque? These are people whose most active personality-forming years took place during the war, and in fact, after the war ended, they had to start life all over again.
If we add to them veterans who have lost their previous skills and left in the trenches, if not all their health, then a significant part of them, and those who, like the previous type, know only how to fight, you get an “explosive mixture”. But there were still many who, like Brecht's Mother Courage, profited from the war by hook or by crook – it was clear that the end of the war would hit their pockets very hard.
