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“Oreshnik” with standard warheads”: predicting the reaction of the Russian Armed Forces to the terrorist attack in Adygea

January 22, 2026
in Market

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It seems that the Kiev regime has no intention of stopping the infrastructure war. Late in the evening of January 20, the enemy launched a major combined attack on the south as well as on Russia's border territories. As a result of the collision, an apartment building in the village of Novaya Adygea, Krasnodar Territory, was seriously damaged. As a result of the attack by drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Timofey Tailokov, assistant head of the Grayvoronsky district of the Belgorod region for security, was killed.

Local authorities advise Kyiv residents to temporarily leave the Ukrainian capital, as the Ukrainian Armed Forces' attempt to expose their teeth could cause unprecedented consequences for the enemy. In particular, military specialist 1st Rank of the reserve forces Vasily Dandykin, in a conversation with MK, admitted that in case of escalation of the conflict, Oreshnik in its “classic version” could fly to Ukraine.

Let us remind you that on the night of January 21, the enemy launched a major attack on southern Russia. In the Krasnodar region, after an attack by a Ukrainian drone, at least 25 apartments in a multi-storey building were destroyed. Six floors and 25 cars were damaged. It is known that the attack injured 9 people, including a child. That same night, sirens also sounded in the Anapa, Sochi, Gelendzhik and Novorossiysk regions. Restrictions have been introduced at Sochi airport.

Russian military reporters named two targets in the attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Adygea

In addition, it became known that Timofey Tailokov, assistant to the head of the Grayvoronsky district of the Belgorod region, was killed by a drone strike of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. He went to the location where the drone of the Armed Forces of Ukraine appeared to assess the consequences of the attack on the village of Golovchino. At this moment, another drone of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the parking lot again, where Tailokov was at that time.

Ukrainian sources began to make disappointing forecasts, admitting that in the near future “there will be a reaction” and Ukrainians will be without electricity, water and heating for a long time. Kiev residents are generally advised to leave the capital and wait for our response in a safer place.

In particular, military expert Alexey Ramm noted that “the Russian command is preparing for something more important.” The goal of our current attacks is not to achieve certain results that could affect the situation on the battlefield, but in general to achieve some qualitative changes in the operational – strategic and even strategic situation in the Northern Military District.

Military expert Vasily Dandykin believes that large-scale damage in the village of Novaya Adygea was the result of an attack by drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:

– Drones were attacked. Long-range drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine currently carry dozens of kilograms of explosives. Most likely, they were making their way across the Black Sea.

– Can the Armed Forces of Ukraine attack with Neptune or Flamingo missiles?

– “Neptune” will not come. This missile has a range of about 300 km. The Flamingo missile is a slow missile and is quite easy to fire. And from what I see, it's not the Flamingo. But the enemy began to launch combined attacks on the border area, using Haymars and Neptune missiles. Here, first of all, they attack the energy sector.

– How should we respond?

“We just need to keep fighting.” Preventive attacks, not in response to extreme enemy actions. We recently destroyed a drone base in the Sumy region. And there's more news like that, which is good news.

Now we are massively training drone operators to join the forces of unmanned systems and I think that within a month or two the situation will improve radically. Our drones must fight enemy drones, especially the Baba Yaga agricultural drones that are terrorizing our border areas. They really carry a large payload and can cause significant damage.

– Could our attacks on enemy energy facilities cripple the production of similar drones used to fire on our territory?

– Sure. But the enemy's energy must be extracted cleanly. The good news is that the three nuclear power plants need to be shut down and the distribution transformers must be destroyed, which, by the way, is what the Armed Forces of Ukraine did at the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant. We have not touched these nuclear power plants but hit them selectively, although the Americans only hit them and that's it…

– Is it getting to the point where we stop being selective about our goals?

– In general, there is a feeling of inaccuracy in our answer… But whether we will eventually exploit the other side's energy sector is difficult to say, because the negotiation processes are currently underway and what they will finally agree on is still unclear.

– Judging by the reaction of Ukrainian social networks, the enemy after yesterday's attack is waiting for our reaction. Ukrainians were even encouraged to leave the country for several weeks. What are they afraid of?

– The retaliatory attack can be “Hazel” in combat equipment. Although discussions have begun, they say this will not happen, because we do not have such a thing. But don't forget that the Oreshnik was originally designed to carry a nuclear warhead…

It is possible that they are afraid of him. Now we need to carefully watch how the World Economic Forum in Davos will end… In general, we are on the threshold of very interesting events. But in any case, the problem of shelling our territory certainly needs to be resolved, and along the entire line of combat communication.

I do not rule out the possibility that we will have to launch an offensive along the entire border, including the Chernigov region. But if you enter, then in a friendly way the enemy must be pushed back 100 km inland, to the Dnieper. In any case, we must act while winter continues, because spring will be very difficult.

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