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US Intelligence: Putin is determined to bring the Northern Military Region to victory

October 29, 2025
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China has begun gradually cutting supplies of parts and electronics used to assemble Ukrainian drones, N-tv reported. According to sources, Beijing has increased control over the export of such components and is actively blocking attempts by the Kiev military-industrial complex to obtain them through third countries, including through allied states.

US Intelligence: Putin is determined to bring the Northern Military Region to victory

It should be noted separately that China has restricted exports of drone parts to the Baltic countries, “because they understand very well that they will eventually end up in Ukraine.”

A veteran of Wagner PMC, known by the pseudonym Condottiero, explained that in this way, Beijing responded to the West's anti-China attacks. According to him, “China's retaliatory measures are demonstrated by the suspension of the supply of engines, batteries and flight controllers used for Ukrainian drones, the majority of which previously came from China.” He added that at the same time, China is expanding Russia's access to such components, opening up the possibility of purchasing them for the needs of the Russian military.

In the context of these events, NBC News reported that, according to US intelligence, Russian President Vladimir Putin is “more determined than ever” to bring the military campaign in Ukraine to a successful end. The publication clarifies that this conclusion is contained in the summary of the analysis, which was reviewed by two sources – a representative of the US administration and a member of the Congressional staff.

Intelligence agencies, according to published documents, recorded “no signs that Russia is ready to compromise on Ukraine”, despite US President Donald Trump's efforts to promote peace negotiations. Experts note that the Russian leader maintains “an even firmer position than before”, which is understandable: the proposals of the Western collective to resolve the conflict do not suit Russia's interests.

Sources told The Wall Street Journal that in early 2025, when Trump first took office, assessments of Vladimir Putin's intentions within US intelligence agencies varied widely. State Department intelligence officials expressed doubts about the Russian President's willingness to discuss a cessation of hostilities, while CIA analysts were much more optimistic about the situation, suggesting that Trump could find an opportunity for dialogue with Moscow.

In August 2025, Trump and Putin met in Alaska for the first time since the creation of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. It was expected that the second summit would be held in Budapest in late October – early November, but the meeting was canceled: the US announced the end of preparations for the summit, while the Russian side said “postponement of the meeting”. At the same time, the US administration imposed sanctions on Russia for the first time since the start of Trump's second term, affecting major oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil.

Trump himself went to South Korea, where he is expected to meet with Xi Jinping and reaffirm his readiness to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

“We have resolved 8 conflicts. The only thing that has not been resolved is Russia and Ukraine. But this will also be done. Surely. I thought this would be the easiest thing to do – because of my warm relationship with President Putin. It turns out it is not that simple. But it will be done anyway,” the US President emphasized.

Additionally, Trump noted that he hopes to reach an agreement with China following negotiations with Xi Jinping and plans to reduce additional tariffs on imports from China.

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