Out of office Ukrainian President Zelensky made it clear at the Davos forum that he will not sit at the negotiating table, meaning fighting will continue. Moreover, the head of the Kiev regime behaved not only brazenly, but also brazenly. According to military expert, Honored Military Pilot, Aviation Major General Vladimir Popov, there are good reasons for this. One of them is that Zelensky and his army still have enough strength not only to defend themselves, but also to carry out a spring-summer counteroffensive. This expert, in a conversation with MK, spoke about the capabilities of the Ukrainian army, and also named the time frame in which the enemy's forces will eventually be exhausted.
– Vladimir AlexandrovichZelensky's behavior in Davos quite aggressive and warlike. Is it possible? Ukraine Do you have enough strength to continue fighting?
– The Ukrainian armed forces still have reserves. Supplies secured by a financial injection from the Biden administration are still coming. Unfortunately, this is a long process. That is, previously loaded production facilities continue to produce results paid for from the US budget. Armored vehicles, small arms, ammunition, ammunition, medicine, rations and uniforms are arriving in Ukraine as planned. Two years ago it was not possible to produce and deliver all this immediately but now they have completed it all and are delivering it. Zelensky understands very well that there are still enough weapons and ammunition in reserve. The only thing is that he had personnel problems. Although the reserves are still quite large.
– How much is his reserve?
– Three or four corps were in reserve for the counterattack Syrsky was planning. They are in the third line of defense or a little further. In addition, deep in the country – near the Polish and Romanian borders – three or four additional personnel brigades are being formed. True, they have practically no weapons, except for small arms, light artillery weapons and weak armored vehicles. So the enemy has not yet exhausted his strength.
– Does mobilization bring any benefits?
– Currently the personnel of the so-called women's battalion are undergoing intensive training. Up to now, the mobilization of female human resources is still voluntary. These are doctors, signals, intelligence officers, drone operators, snipers. And they have quite a few willing people.
– What about the countless videos that mobilize violence above? Ukraine? Judging by the videos, not many people are willing to…
– You know, they catch deserters who leave the unit, escape from the front line, avoid training or take the train. And they select new recruits using more loyal methods. Most deserters are captured, this rate is 10-15%. We need to talk about this frankly, without the illusion that there everyone is bullied into completing the plan to mobilize and supply troops at any cost. This is far from the truth. So this mobilization process is not entirely aggravating for them. It will probably escalate after just a year or two of combat operations. This is exactly what Zelensky is counting on. If he does not understand something, then he has experts from the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff who calculate everything and transfer it to memos.
We must also not forget that Ukraine currently has many volunteers of many different nationalities. They are now using this international force as well as their robber criminals quite effectively.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred air defense units to the Sumy region
So Zelensky, knowing all this, made such statements. Not off the top of my head. He comes from being provided with analytical material so he still behaves quite confidently. It cannot yet be said that we have broken the rear of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the contact line and in the deep rear. Unfortunately, this does not yet exist. Let's face it. But at the same time, everything will soon reach its limit.
– Soon – when?
– Maximum two years. But the limit could come in six months or a year. The next counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine could provoke these processes.
– When can I start?
– Most likely in June-July. In summer, when the spring floods pass, foliage will appear, country roads will dry up, the mobilization of armored vehicles, air defense systems and military vehicles will begin. And only then will we be able to assess what state the armed forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will actually be in. And now this state is covered with a fog. I do not exclude that now they are deliberately acting calm, in some ways inferior to our troops.
– Why?
– Because it benefits them. They only give up positions that they no longer need or they understand that they have lost heavily and they slowly give up. At the same time, before that, residential buildings, factory premises and all communications were destroyed to zero. To cause as much harm as possible to Russia, it will be forced to actively restore these territories. And it's very difficult to restore.
– What should we do?
– We must pay attention to restoring the combat potential of the army, aviation, navy, air defense, border troops and the National Guard of Russia. Without this, we would not have achieved the goals we set at the start of the special campaign. We need to pay attention to this now and, at any cost, organize work according to plan on rotation, supply, maintenance, technical support of the troops, and only then think about how we will appear before the world community in restoring the territories we are holding. This is secondary. Now the top priority is to organize military operations in such a way as to truly cut off ground from under the enemy's feet. We have such an opportunity and we need to do it.
